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Tuesday, January 18, 2011

HSCB: Human Cultural Social Behavior the New Age Warfare Model:

I have been following the work in this area for over one year and find the whole concept to be very relevant to today’s asymmetrical conflict model. In past conflicts over history it has usually been easy to tell the difference between sides. Today in the era of worldwide Islamic Jihad these differentiations are difficult to detect. In no time before in recorded history has one group taken such continuous steps to conduct a campaign of terrorism. Even in times of the Irish freedom movement of the 1930’s-80’s ordinary groups were not selected as targets. The Islamic Jihad has been especially vicious in deadly waves of IED attacks. Not only has the Islamic strategy included IED’s but also the activity of infiltration by enlisting in the security forces of Iraq and Afghanistan. When an opportunity presents itself the infiltrated asset will try to harm coalition personal without warning. This “Trojan horse” strategy has been quite effective and has no real foolproof countermeasure. Leveraging HSC techniques could mitigate taking causalities from both approaches and warrants a very close look from the war fighter community. Truly actionable intelligence needs to be presented and sometimes this is a challenge for the model driven approach of today. HSCB practice calls for a census like interview to be conducted to obtain information from which models can derive patterns. Unfortunately the interviews taken by the Human Terrain Teams can become stagnate over time. Updated profiles need to be generated and one tool that can enable that approach is leveraging various ISR assets to collect information that can portray immediate change over historic or gradual change. The below links provide a wealth of data on  HSCB
http://www.informs-sim.org/wsc10papers/066.pdf

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